← RWT Collective - HVN Store Champs
Water Crux LorraineTier 1
at RWT Collective - HVN Store Champs
decks
2
(10.0% of field)
matches (non-mirror)
10
4-3-3
overall winrate
55.0%
ELO-adjusted winrate
60.1%
avg ELO +4.5 per match
expected value
50.6%
share-weighted (raw)
EV (ELO-adj)
52.9%
share-weighted (skill-controlled)
Pilot Skill · average
mean ELO 1294
· median 1294
· range 1231–1357
(2 pilots with an ELO rating)
1110
Q1 1195
Q3 1462
1569
0% of pilots are in the field's top quartile,
0% in the bottom.
Head-to-Head Matchups
Winrates vs every other archetype, sorted by the opponent's field share. Mirrors excluded. Shrunk WR uses a Beta(2, 2) prior so a 1-0 cell doesn't read as 100%; it feeds the EV calc above. Adj WR is the skill-controlled view: derived from per-match ELO deltas (0.5 + avg ELO Δ / K=32, same shrinkage), so it tells you what would have happened on equal-rating play. A faded Raw WR means under 10 matches — lean on the Shrunk WR column there.
| Opponent | Their share | Matches | W-L-D | Raw WR | Shrunk WR | Adj WR | ELO Δ/match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wind Shadowstrike | 15.0% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Water Genbu | 10.0% | 1 | 0-1-0 | 0.0% | 40.0% | 43.4% | -10.6 |
| Wind Astra Cleric | 10.0% | 2 | 1-0-1 | 75.0% | 58.3% | 63.1% | +12.6 |
| Wind Crux Lorraine | 10.0% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Aggro | 5.0% | 1 | 1-0-0 | 100.0% | 60.0% | 57.1% | +11.4 |
| Fire Firebloom Burn | 5.0% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Luxem Assassin | 5.0% | 1 | 0-0-1 | 50.0% | 50.0% | 48.0% | -3.2 |
| Water Crux Mage | 5.0% | 1 | 0-1-0 | 0.0% | 40.0% | 47.1% | -4.6 |
| Wind Crux Mage | 5.0% | 1 | 0-0-1 | 50.0% | 50.0% | 53.0% | +4.8 |
| Wind Luxem Assassin | 5.0% | 1 | 1-0-0 | 100.0% | 60.0% | 60.2% | +16.4 |
| Wind Luxem Zander | 5.0% | 1 | 0-1-0 | 0.0% | 40.0% | 45.5% | -7.2 |
| Wind Neos | 5.0% | 1 | 1-0-0 | 100.0% | 60.0% | 58.2% | +13.2 |
| Wind Seiryuu | 5.0% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
Decklists · 2 from this event
The 2 public Water Crux Lorraine decklists from this event, ordered by final placement — click a pilot for the full list.
